President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Electoral votes invalidated. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. Not one! PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". Special elections, if any, are excluded. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? Before Trump's 2016 win, the state voted. Blue States No. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. It is not a red state. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). Continue with Recommended Cookies. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. And West Virginia is losing. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. What determines a state's "color"? Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. All Rights Reserved. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. [41][note 1][42]. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. Iapologize.). Out of. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. Special elections, if any, are excluded. All Rights Reserved. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". . If . Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Which ones are more politically competitive? Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. We may not know results in PA fordays. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. So how does all that look visually? But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. Is Wisconsin a red state? In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. Explained! Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. What are red and blue states? Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Gov. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. Next is Alabama at No. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. [5] However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the union.[6]. Red states vs. blue states. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. The Hill . As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan).
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