Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. Durability is atop the list after missing six games last year. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. He's more powerful and understands how to work between the tackles. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. I'm out. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. The current regime did not select Robinson. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Jeff Haseley: It's easy to succumb to the notion that Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the league. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Before McKissic was injured with a concussion in Week 12, which forced him to miss the remainder of the season, Gibson was only getting targeted 2.6 times per game. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Deion Sanders tops the list of overrated cornerbacks. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. only site on the planet. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. Sigmund Bloom: The Raiders are going to adopt a frustrating Patriots-style committee at running back under Josh McDaniels, which means that Jacobs will be at best Damien Harris in this offense. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. There are backs going after Chubb who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. There's too much risk to draft him as an ever-week starter. 20 20. McKissic on your fantasy squad, but his outlier of a 2020 season is going to cause some to reach for him heading into 2021. I am a heretic in that regard. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. So what's the concern? Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. McKissic take the bulk of receiving work in Washington -- even though Gibson himself is a converted wide receiver. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. I was reading an article the other day about the greatest power backs of all time and Jerome Bettis was third on the list (right behind Jim Brown and Larry Csonka and right ahead of Earl Campbell). But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were recently ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. 21 RB Sleepers. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. The current regime did not select Robinson. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. Adrian . J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. Barkley is a workhorse. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. Green Bay seems to like A.J. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. Jeff Haseley: Chase Edmonds scored in five different games in 2020, exceeding eight carries in a game only twice in 15 qualifying games. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. 1. Its almost always the other way around for top tier RBs. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. There are some people who will say he was the most overrated running back in history because he was 1-5 in the playoffs, and he never won a Super . We've seen J.D. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your
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